The US dollar rose last Friday to its 16-month high against the euro, as the fall in stock prices forced the US Federal Reserve to confirm its position on tightening monetary policy, citing a strong US economy.
Thus, the dollar is still perfectly able to use any positive and even negative in its favor. Whether it is a trade war between Washington and Beijing, a significant decrease in the US stock market or mixed results of the mid-term elections.
However, the market received a very clear signal that, in any event, that threatens the dollar, the Federal Reserve, which, after Janet Yellen's departure, is under the control of the White House, will make it clear that it will increase the rate if requested "Strong America - Strong Dollar". Making allowances for this approach, analysts advise traders who work with dollar "longs" to increase their positions, since the risk of a dollar collapse is extremely low. In addition, the dollar has practically protected itself from losing the common European currency in the coming months, since Brussels is still not able to solve three key problems that threaten the euro exchange rate as well. Firstly, this is a prolonged Brexit deal on the Irish border. Secondly, this is a deficit budget of Italy, whose problems are not simpler than the Greek, and the economy is 10 times larger, and, thirdly, this is a migration policy that threatens Europe no longer unemployed Arabs, but a political split. All this will pull the euro down at least until February 2019.
S&P 500 和 Nasdaq 指數繼續上升,儘管其他行業表現不一,但仍保持上漲勢頭。特朗普政府的立場有所軟化,加上預期進一步減免關稅,這令投資者信心增強。
儘管市場波動性高,但S&P 500和道瓊斯指數週一收盤於正值。投資者密切關注關稅談判可能進展的線索,這是一個充滿企業財報和關鍵經濟數據的繁忙週。
美國股市指數連續第三個交易日收高,受到科技板塊強勁上漲的推動。納斯達克指數飆升2.74%,受益於Alphabet和ServiceNow等公司強勁的財報業績。
隨著財報季的開始,持續的關稅對峙造成的不確定性正明顯地影響商業活動和消費者信心。 儘管市場樂觀,一些大型美國企業正在修訂其預測。
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