The euro began a week of growth, although it remains within its recent trading range against the dollar. In general, foreign exchange markets are in a calm state and only the Australian dollar shows good dynamics in the encouraging economic data from China.
The euro/dollar pair has been stuck in a narrow range for several weeks. Investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates at the end of this month and the ECB will maintain a course for further easing in 2019. The euro rose 0.08% to 1.1282 dollars but it is still in the recent range of 1.14 to 1.11 dollars. Meanwhile, the dollar index remained at the same level of 96.81 points relative to a basket of major currencies. Analysts point out that the bearish sentiment towards the euro prevails given that the yield on treasury bonds is likely to remain one of the highest in developed markets, despite future Fed rate cuts. The euro should recover; Societe Generale believes that "For the most traded and most attractive currency pair in the world, the Fed's dovish tone, the President demanding to weaken the dollar and hints of optimism about the world economy, mean only one thing — the beginning of the rally".
The Australian dollar reached a 10-day high due to stronger than expected economic data from China, which signals that the government stimulus measures are working, according to some analysts. Industrial production in China recovered in June from a 17-year low in May. June retail sales rose 9.8% year on year. The Australian dollar gained 0.2% to 0.7035 against the dollar.
美國股市指數連續第三個交易日收高,受到科技板塊強勁上漲的推動。納斯達克指數飆升2.74%,受益於Alphabet和ServiceNow等公司強勁的財報業績。
隨著財報季的開始,持續的關稅對峙造成的不確定性正明顯地影響商業活動和消費者信心。 儘管市場樂觀,一些大型美國企業正在修訂其預測。
美國市場顯示出不穩定的跡象。關於中美貿易衝突可能降溫的積極信號帶來了希望,但專家警告不要過於樂觀。
隨著對經濟增長放緩及貿易關稅影響的擔憂加劇,S&P 500和Nasdaq 100指數持續下滑。市場持續波動,投資者在不確定性加劇的環境中調整策略。
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