在聯邦準備理事會會議後,歐元表現出明顯的不願失去優勢,這與其他主要市場類似。整體而言,這一天平靜地展開。日蠟燭的下影線將歐元的交易區間擴展至1.0350到1.0458之間。由於這一範圍的下邊界得到了MACD線的支持,主要針對1.0135的看跌情景正變得越來越具有挑戰性。
不過,今天我們迎來了歐洲央行的會議。市場普遍預期主要利率將下調0.25%。在歐洲央行的公告之前,將公佈歐元區的就業和GDP數據。預計12月的失業率將維持在11月的6.3%,而GDP增長僅為0.1%,相比第三季度的0.4%有所下降。此外,德國第四季度的GDP可能顯示下降0.1%。這些事件加起來可能會將歐元推低至支撐位1.0350以下。若價格在此水平之下企穩,目標將指向1.0135。
在4小時圖上,由MACD線顯示的阻力位在1.0433。綜合考慮兩個時間框架,歐元的走勢似乎比昨天更弱。我們正在等待歐洲央行對貨幣政策的決定。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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