聯邦儲備銀行延長的貨幣政策會議即將到來,因此我們尚無法斷定昨日標普500指數上漲0.64%、美元指數下降0.32%以及美國政府債券收益率小幅上升是否表明市場對風險的胃納重新開放。就歐元而言,最近的增長似乎是在1.0882-1.0949範圍內的調整,市場正為聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)的決策做準備。
近年來,市場通常會避免在美聯儲發佈消息後立即做出衝動的反應。然而,目前的情況頗為特殊。考慮到歐元在短短一週內已上漲了5.5個點,主要參與者可能會想推動價格下降至1.0762的支撐水平,然後再恢復其上升趨勢。在美聯儲內部,有越來越多的意見認為可能需要加快降息的步伐。
在四小時圖上,市場情緒看起來較為樂觀。Marlin 振盪器剛剛進入正區域,而 1.0882-1.0949 範圍內的價格變動得到了 MACD 線的支持。任何超出此範圍的波動可能會導致虛假突破。目前,我們在等待美聯儲的決定。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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