澳元對特朗普的關稅舉措反應相對平靜,當日收盤於0.6273–0.6351的廣泛整固區間內。然而,星期五開局時卻出現了明顯的下跌,目前價格正在區間的下限之下波動。
價格反轉恰逢 Marlin 震盪指標從零線轉折,這標誌著可能的每週(甚至中期)下跌。最近的目標是圍繞 0.6222 標記的 MACD 線,這與 3 月 31 日的低點相符。跌破此水平將打開通往 0.6133 的路徑,這仍然是主要情景。另一個看漲的情景則是在價格重回 0.6351 時實現,為邁向 0.6482 打開了大門。
在H4圖表上,價格已跌破平衡線和MACD指標線,並突破0.6273的支撐位。Marlin已進入看空區域。我們將繼續觀察短期下跌趨勢的發展。
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